The bank interest rates are likely to go up in India, the second fastest growing economy of the world today. The Indian government is also likely to impose lot of restrictions on the foreign fund flow to avoid any temporary funds flowing into the economy.
The interest rate hike is necessitated by the spike up in inflation which has touched a year high of 4.78% last week.

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The crude oil prices reflect the state of global economy over the longer term. The mood of the global investors was relatively better two weeks back when there were reports of healthy economic rebound in many countries including China, Japan, India and South Korea and Australia.
But the US economy continues to show weak signs and the US FED chief has indicated yesterday that the US economy will face tough times ahead has pulled down the global confidence. The crude oil prices hit 74 dollars to a barrel in today’s trade.

The third quarter GDP growth of India has turned out to be far better than most of the analyst expectations. The Indian economy was expected to grow only by 6.3% as per consensus estimates, and even government officials were expecting the growth to be around the 6% levels.
But the actual numbers have been announced at 7.9% owing to massive growth in service sector and also industrial output. The massive stimulus spending by the government seems to be working, but the spike up in the inflation in the last four weeks has started haunting the government. There is likely to be a spike up in the interest rates in the coming months by the central bank.

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The demand for all products have gone down in the last two years across the globe, except for one metal. Yes, the yellow metal, Gold, has seen the demand surge even during the worst global recession in the last two years.
With countries latching up Gold like never before, the demand has surged far beyond the current supply levels.
The gold thus hit a new high of 1163 dollars to an Ounce in the London bullion exchange yesterday.
Wait for Gold prices to hit 1400 dollars in a year’s time, say some experienced Gold dealers. Any takers ?

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Till now, the US FED decisions are taken within the four walls of the US FED office and it is just communicated to the entire world. The US congress once in a year or so tries to pull out some data from the US FED officials through formal grilling, but that rarely produces any result.
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The Indian government is also likely to bring in curbs on foreign flows over the next few months. The country has seen a sharp appreciation in the local currency, the Indian Rupee, over the last three months. The Rupee has appreciated over 8% in the last quarter which is making the exports non-competitive.
The Indian economy employs over 10% of the work force in small and medium scale sector focused on exports to US and Europe and Japan. And curbing of cheap foreign fund flow is the only way for the Indian government to cut down on the rupee appreciation. Many other countries including Brazil and South Korea have brought in additional curbs on foreign fund flow already.